Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004132 0.004345 0.004563 0.004803 0.005061 0.005330 0.005632
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003711 0.004023 0.004356 0.004740 0.005171 0.005642 0.006198
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003524 0.003901 0.004316 0.004809 0.005382 0.006031 0.006827
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003344 0.003764 0.004235 0.004809 0.005494 0.006293 0.007304
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003180 0.003627 0.004139 0.004776 0.005553 0.006481 0.007691
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003013 0.003475 0.004013 0.004693 0.005540 0.006574 0.007953
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002875 0.003350 0.003910 0.004629 0.005540 0.006674 0.008223
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002786 0.003278 0.003866 0.004632 0.005620 0.006875 0.008629
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002630 0.003115 0.003703 0.004476 0.005487 0.006790 0.008643
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002563 0.003062 0.003672 0.004486 0.005567 0.006984 0.009043
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002546 0.003068 0.003715 0.004591 0.005774 0.007357 0.009711
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002461 0.002985 0.003640 0.004537 0.005763 0.007428 0.009948
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002384 0.002911 0.003576 0.004496 0.005771 0.007527 0.010236
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002306 0.002832 0.003502 0.004439 0.005751 0.007587 0.010467
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002280 0.002821 0.003517 0.004502 0.005903 0.007897 0.011095
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002232 0.002778 0.003488 0.004502 0.005963 0.008074 0.011526
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002175 0.002722 0.003438 0.004471 0.005976 0.008180 0.011848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002105 0.002647 0.003359 0.004396 0.005920 0.008178 0.011992
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002045 0.002582 0.003293 0.004337 0.005885 0.008206 0.012183
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002009 0.002550 0.003272 0.004340 0.005943 0.008378 0.012627
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001925 0.002450 0.003152 0.004197 0.005774 0.008187 0.012436
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001896 0.002424 0.003137 0.004206 0.005837 0.008365 0.012897
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001897 0.002441 0.003181 0.004302 0.006038 0.008774 0.013794